Sunday, 27 February 2011

Many a slip....

Last week I published this post, showing that an IPSOS/Mori poll revealed that the SNP had caught up with and passed Labour in voting intentions for Holyrood. 

Today there is a new YouGov poll of Scottish Parliamentary voting intentions, commissioned by the Scottish Greens. Topline figures are;

Constituency: CON 15%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%, SNP 32%
Regional: CON 15%, LAB 40%, LDEM 7%, SNP 26%, GRN 6%

Labour would get 59 seqats and be in a position to form a coalition with the Greens (according to some).

So. All is right with the world. Labour is back in a healthy lead, the SNP is languishing and the election is in the bag.

Not so, IMHO. The SNP has loads of money from Brian Souter and (I would predict) Tom Farmer, the religious lobby working for a Nationalist victory. Labour and all the other Scottish parties are struggling for cash.And, as Lord Ashcroft and the USA elections show, money buys votes.

There's a long way to go and many a slip to be encountered. If you ask me, the election will be close and getting out the vote will be the key to victory or defeat.


  1. "Money buys votes."

    Not necessarily: the SNP won the 2009 European elections in Scotland despite being outspent by Labour.

  2. That doesn't mean that money does not or cannot buy votes.....

    it clearly can and does......

  3. Lord Sainsbury! BM Creative Management Limited!
    GLC Limited! Bannatyne Fitness Limited! Hillside (New Media) Ltd! Scottish Daily Record & Sunday Mail Ltd! Manchester Airport Group! Canary Wharf Group Plc! Sterling Capitol Plc! Amshold Group Limited! and 100s more.

    Re poll it has been shown that it is not worth the paper it is written on.